One last resort? With Sean McConeghy
In 2008, Stephen Colbert announced on his TV show that he was running for President of the United States in South Carolina. Ballot access rules for the Republican Primary and a decision by the South Carolina Democratic Party’s executive council led him to abandon his bid after just weeks. Though his bid failed, the idea could have some merit for this year.
Donald Trump will not win 270 electoral votes.
His ardent supporters and those who refuse to accept the fact that Hillary Clinton would not be out of line in placing orders for new White House drapes notwithstanding, he can’t win. He’s running fourth with millennials, something that is completely unheard of for a major party candidate. Polling has put him at 0% among blacks and is 48 points behind Clinton among Hispanics. 48%! He may be correct that his most ardent supporters would not abandon him if he shot someone in broad daylight, but there simply aren’t enough of them for him to win 270 EVs.
At this point (What difference does it make?), he might not even get a majority of the votes among members of the House and Senate Republican caucuses, as members of Congress continue to abandon the Titanic of presidential campaigns. So dire has the situation become that the Republican National Committee has threatened to abandon the presidential race and Democrats are now talking openly about a prospect once thought ridiculous – flipping the House.
If Trump can’t hit 270, it stands to reason that somebody else must take electoral votes from Clinton to deny her that magic number. “Deny” is the keyword, there. Another candidate winning red states would not affect her path, and having a candidate split the ‘anyone but Clinton’ vote in a swing state would only build her total. As such, what it would require is a candidate who would be willing to run only in blue states, perhaps just one large one, and whose popularity is so high that he would at least have a chance of upsetting the Democratic nominee.
There is only one man who fits that bill: Rudolph Giuliani.
America’s mayor remains extremely popular because of his leadership in the wake of the attacks that changed the nation. Even having run for President in 2008 and failed, he remains one of the rare politicians who is widely perceived to be above politics, at least the gutter-type politics of Clinton and Trump. He is not a conservative ideologue by any stretch, but he is viewed as a problem solver and a respected leader. Given how negatively the two front-runners are viewed even by many members of their own parties and the bitterness that many feel toward them after what transpired in the primaries, a trustworthy adult in the room can’t help but have a certain appeal.
Of course, New York remains a deep blue state, so even Giuliani would need a Vice Presidential candidate sufficiently liberal to make him appealing to would-be Clinton voters. Someone who has a record that bolsters Giuliani’s appeal as the adult in the room and could appeal to disaffected Bernie Sanders voters would be ideal. Former Senator and presidential candidate Jim Webb would fit that bill perfectly. Webb and Sanders showed their close personal relationship earlier in the cycle, and those struggling to come to terms with Clinton but wanting to reject Trump would have an option.
If Giuliani/Webb were to win New York and no candidate reached 270 electoral votes, the House of Representatives would choose the next President while the Senate would choose the Vice President. Choosing candidates who ran only in a single state would be unorthodox, but not out of the question, especially given the disdain that so many Republicans feel toward Trump. It would also present the opportunity for the type of coming together moment that politicians often discuss but almost never create.
Even if the bid failed, it could have a positive impact elsewhere. Forcing Clinton to spend time and resources in New York could prevent her from running up the electoral score and potentially bringing with her a wave large enough to flip the House. It would also give those who don’t like the top two candidates the chance to voice their disapproval for the gruesome twosome by writing in Giuliani while also casting votes in down ballot races. Finally, it would give Republicans candidates looking to distance themselves from Trump a viable rallying point and the chance to circle the wagons, albeit of a reduced wagon train, rather than going it alone.
To get on the ballot in New York, Giuliani would have to submit 15,000 signatures by 8/23. It’s a tall task, but it would be possible for the state’s favorite son. He would also have the chance to get on the ballot in other blue states in which Trump has no chance, such as Rhode Island and Oregon.
Is this a likely scenario? Absolutely not, but then, neither is having an election come down to a candidate who survived an FBI investigation only by being called incompetent against another who admits that he hasn’t matured since the first grade.
Sean McConeghy offers professional writing services, including SEO, other web content, newsletters, e-mail campaigns, e-books, and more! If you have a writing project that you need done, whatever it may be, get in touch with me today.
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